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Sunday, 20 February 2011

The polls - February

Well, I'm very surprised. After TV3's poll earlier this week showing 60% of New Zealanders were opposed to "privatisation" versus 30% in favour, you would think the government was up for a big hit in the polls. Apparently not - TV3's poll shows National still with a comfortable lead. I really expected John Key to take a hit on privatisation - but the One News poll shows a marginal 4% drop.

This will change though. November 26 is 9 months away, and a lot can happen in 9 months. The biggest threat to John Key's position comes from NZ First, who he has ruled out including in government. You'd expect that anti-privatisation National voters would flock to NZ First, but that doesn't seem to be the case; just 3.6% of respondents in One News' poll said they would vote for them.